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Wednesday

A little interest in Mets Over 1.5 F5 and Rockies Over 1.5 F5.  It is close.  Going to post some reasoning below. 

Manaea going for SD against the Mets.  Wood going for SF vs the Rockies.  Both are prone to give up a couple of runs over 5 innings and both can come out and cover this for his team.  

I think instead of placing separate bets on both games, that there is more worth in parlaying this at +264 or so vs playing 2 games and risking losing both or splitting and breaking even are finishing slightly in the red.  

MLB Parlay +264

Mets Over 1.5 F5

Rockies Over 1.5 F5

0.25 unit

NYM at SD

Manaea allowed 1 run in his last start.  He had allowed 3 or more runs in his previous 6 starts.  He has not gone back to back games allowing fewer than 2 runs in his last 21 starts.  

Manaea 5.01 ERA at home

Manaea 4.81 ERA last 7 starts

Mets batting .290 last 10 games vs LHP

COL at SF

Wind blowing out at 18 mph

Wood has allowed 3 or more runs in 5 of his last 7 starts

Wood 5.56 ERA last 7 starts

Wood 6.43 ERA last 3 starts

Wood 6.11 ERA at home

COL roster batting .291 vs Wood in 158 ABs

MLB HR Props

#Mariners

Rodriguez +340

#Marlins

Cooper+550

#Cubs

Happ+500

#Guardians

Gimenez +600

#Rangers

Duran +750

Lowe +700

#A’s

Laureano +475

#RedSox

Devers+330

#Padres

Profar+650

Grisham+800

#Mets

Escobar+425

#Rockies

Joe+700

Jack Suwinski 3 HR, .867 slg last 15 ABs, for PIT  

Cal Mitchell 2 HR, 1.091 slg last 11 ABs for PIT  

HR Prop for DET at PIT 12:35 pm  

Pirates  

Suwinski +550 

Mitchell +750  

Tigers

Baez+475  

MLB

Detroit at Pittsburgh 12:35 pm

Faedo vs Keller

PICK: DET Over 1.5  First 5  -130

0.25 unit

PICK: Runs 1st Inning Over 0.5  +110

0.25 unit

Keller 5.88 ERA last 7 starts

Keller 6.04 ERA at home

DET batting .386 vs Keller

Keller 7.71 ERA last 3 starts