Free Picks are are plays that I do see an edge for a side but it just is not solid enough to send to paying Subscribers.
I post these for the public for transparency purposes.
These are always VERY SMALL plays.
Tuesday update in progress. Check back.
(Bet Type always a Lean unless noted otherwise)
College Basketball (MEAC Tournament)
UMES vs Delaware St 6 pm
Pick: DSU -119
Two near identically bad teams when you look at records. UMES 5-26, 4-14 conf, Del St 5-25, 4-14 conf.
Teams won on each other’s home court this season. UMES won by 2 on Feb 2, DSU won by 21 at UMES in Feb 29, much more recent and maybe a more accurate representation of how teams are playing right now.
UMES lost 5 straight, 0-5 ATS
DSU has won 2 straight road games, 6-1 ATS last 7 overall
DSU shooting 46.2 % compared to UMES 33.5 % last 5
DSU scores 71.9 ppg on the road (84 ppg last 5), UMES scores 59 ppg on the road (60 last 5)
#2 Free/Personal Pick
College Basketball (CAA Tournament)
Northeastern vs Hofstra O/U 134.5 7 pm
Pick: Over 134/Spare Change
I don’t do a lot of totals for basketball. I like them more in CFB and MLB than in basketball.
This total has dropped 7 points since the open. Haven’t found a reason for this other than people possibly pounding trend of the Under going 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings. That stat can be misleading if you don’t dig deeper.
Despite the Under cashing frequently in this series, these teams have gone Over 134.5 in their last 9 meetings. These teams combined for 146 points in each of their 2 meetings this season.
Hofstra has scored 75 or more points in 6 of their last 7 road/neutral site games
Hofstra shooting 46% from 3 pt last 5 games
Hofstra shot 55%, Northeastern 49.1 % in first meeting
#3 College Basketball (Horizon League Tournament)
UIC vs Northern KY 7 pm
Pick: UIC +5.5 -128 (Bought 1 point)
UIC playing really well right now and have a 30 point road win over NKU this season. UIC is coming off of a 17 pt neutral site win over Wright St who beat NKU at NKU by 2 pts on 2/28
UIC 6-2 ATS last 8
UIC 6-1 ATS last 7 as a dog
NKU 2-4 ATS last 6
NKU 0-4 ATS last 4 following SU win
Last 5 games strongly favors UIC for me